6 N J$ _ r5 \; \3 ~惡性循環 - S' K) d; s- w2 w( K, _& ] p公仔箱論壇公仔箱論壇 N6 j" X Q; @: b
且不說不斷快速增長的幾與軍費相當的5000多億的巨額維穩經費不可能長久持續，而最糟糕的是這種維穩體制本身造成的不穩因素正在超出其能夠平抑的不穩因素。一方面，是中央需要的穩定，「零指標」「一票決」定官員命運；另一方面，是缺乏制度約束下的地方利益擴張以及社會矛盾解決機制缺失下的維穩剛性需求，賣地成為一個必然的捷徑：09年是1，6 萬億，增60%,去年2，7萬億，增70% 。 - p( b" y+ [! A% X2 oTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( U0 N$ }7 m; @2 s
可以想見，這背後又可能造成了多少強制拆遷冤案。許多專家提到的其中大量資金去向不明，但我們也可以肯定有相當部分用於維穩。從中央到地方，近年各級維穩經費幾乎都在以雙位數在增長。而一些得到維穩好處、靠維穩吃飯的官員警力甚至黑惡勢力自然也都樂見這樣一個局面持續，而有意無意造成各種需要維穩現象不穩定現象。一個惡性循環已經形成。 A/ V9 L1 j4 T5 d# d. M4 Atvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 2 p- z* Y' D) w8 e% Z0 f, o* HTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。短線維穩與長治久安 * ]9 z3 B8 m4 h/ y4 l " F9 V' x5 f3 b ZTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。現代社會的利益多元和現代文明的變動不居的等特徵都需要一種能回應人們利益多元表達、具有不斷更新調整機制的制度。這種短線的維穩只可維繫暫時的虛假升平，但終為飲鳩止渴，非長治久安之道。一旦中國的經濟因各種原因放緩，或因生態、社會等事件誘發，長期靠得過且過的這種維穩體制壓抑的矛盾會像岩漿般噴發，這對國人，對國家的命運甚至對統治集團本身都不是件好事。不堪回首，小樓昨夜月明中，逃往沙特的本·阿里今日豈不要悔之晚矣？平日高唱和諧，踐踏民眾，貪圖權柄想萬世一系，民眾抗議大潮湧起才想起改革，更換政府懲治腐敗，人民又豈可甘受戲弄？今日如此，何必當初！ / a9 y$ v1 X: h! {/ F; _& d9 Dtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb, w' g( s( _. U1 h; [% h% Q- C* P. F
在突尼斯和埃及的衝擊下，從阿爾及利亞到也門、敘利亞到處阿拉伯領導人在忙著更換政府，回應社會壓力，稱「可轉圜的時間不多了」。 ' _) a* q$ O/ ?' m0 xwww2.tvboxnow.com ; j9 m, E2 }+ d4 ~公仔箱論壇而中國呢？歷史會給中國多少時間？在這新春之際，我們還是要以最深的誠意，祝願阿拉伯世界的人民能夠終獲自由和尊嚴，少受損失，和平轉型；更祝福我們的人民和國家能真正享有夢寐以求的自由富裕和長治久安。作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-2-4 06:57 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-2-4 07:01 AM 編輯 % B5 [8 _. C" t* F6 jwww2.tvboxnow.com ; I4 c# k# q* X& U) LWatching Thugs With Razors and Clubs at Tahrir Sq. ! d& }0 X* s/ c; _8 i! N公仔箱論壇' ~& q3 q7 _1 [
By NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF February 2, 2011TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。& N" N) R# S" }
% V* r! C G1 V; J1 A- dTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ( m7 M) U/ n8 B, W& S* U* gPro-government thugs at Tahrir Square used clubs, machetes, swords and straight razors on Wednesday to try to crush Egypt’s democracy movement, but, for me, the most memorable moment of a sickening day was one of inspiration: watching two women stand up to a mob. ) L# Z! M1 ?8 n6 F" {* o( A% eTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。I was on Tahrir Square,watching armed young men pour in to scream in support of President Hosni Mubarak and to battle the pro-democracy protesters. Everybody, me included,tried to give them a wide berth, and the bodies of the injured being carried away added to the tension. Then along came two middle-age sisters, Amal and Minna, walking toward the square to join the pro-democracy movement. They had their heads covered in the conservative Muslim style, and they looked timid and frail as thugs surrounded them, jostled them, shouted at them. - i- s5 }; i3 R公仔箱論壇Yet side by side with the ugliest of humanity, you find the best. The two sisters stood their ground. They explained calmly to the mob why they favored democratic reform and listened patiently to the screams of the pro-Mubarak mob.When the women refused to be cowed, the men lost interest and began to move on— and the two women continued to walk to the center of Tahrir Square. ; q5 o' w% z3 Z8 F1 yTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。I approached the women and told them I was awed by their courage. I jotted down their names and asked why they had risked the mob’s wrath to come to Tahrir Square. “We need democracy in Egypt,”Amal told me, looking quite composed. “We just want what you have.” www2.tvboxnow.com2 f- A& O& ^ Q8 a
But when I tried to interview them on video, thugs swarmed us again. I appeased the members of the mob by interviewing them (as one polished his razor), and the two sisters managed again to slip away and continue toward the center of Tahrir Square, also known as Liberation Square, to do their part for Egyptian democracy. % I! ^2 b, S: H# o6 k2 h8 e o! k
Thuggery and courage coexisted all day in Tahrir Square, just like that. The events were sometimes presented by the news media as “clashes” between rival factions, but that’s a bit misleading. This was an organized government crackdown, but it relied on armed hoodlums, not on police or army troops. 7 E! ~! l# ~# R( ATVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。The pro-Mubarak forces arrived in busloads that mysteriously were waved past checkpoints. These forces emerged at the same time in both Alexandria and Cairo, and they seemed to have been briefed to carry the same kinds of signs and scream the same slogans. They singled out foreign journalists, especially camera crews, presumably because they didn’t want their brutality covered. A number of journalists were beaten up, although far and away it was Egyptians who suffered the most. www2.tvboxnow.com* \( @) F/ R3 }6 ~. o
Until the arrival of these thugs, Tahrir Square had been remarkably peaceful, partly because pro-democracy volunteers checked I.D.’s and frisked everyone entering. One man, a suspected police infiltrator,was caught with a gun on Tuesday quite close to me, and I was impressed with the way volunteers disarmed him and dragged him to an army unit — all while forming a protective cordon around him to keep him from being harmed. 2 b+ `3 D; F5 Q0 {. P( q" JIn contrast, the pro-Mubarak mobs were picking fights. At first, the army kept them away from the pro-democracy crowds, but then the pro-Mubarak thugs charged into the square and began attacking. 公仔箱論壇3 z) y$ U+ h1 Z# p0 B7 B* l
There is no reliable way of knowing right now how many have been killed and injured in Egypt’s turmoil. Before Wednesday’s violence, Navi Pillay, the United Nations high commissioner for human rights, said the death toll could be as many as 300, but she acknowledged that she was basing that on “unconfirmed” reports. There are some who are missing, including a senior Google official, Wael Ghonim, who supported the democracy activists. On Wednesday, the government said that three more had died and many hundreds were injured; I saw some people who were unmoving and looked severely injured at the least. These figures compare with perhaps more than 100 killed when Iran crushed its pro-democracy movement in 2009 and perhaps 400 to 800 killed in Beijing in 1989. ! A8 E7 T7 o4 E9 _0 R3 k
Chinese and Iranian leaders were widely condemned for those atrocities, so shouldn’t Mr. Mubarak merit the same broad condemnation? Come on, President Obama. You owe the democracy protesters being attacked here, and our own history and values, a much more forceful statement deploring this crackdown. - d1 `. |% o& P0 I
It should be increasingly evident that Mr. Mubarak is not the remedy for the instability in Egypt;he is its cause. The road to stability in Egypt requires Mr. Mubarak’s departure, immediately. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb, f& T! |) V. O* A e
But for me, when I remember this sickening and bloody day, I’ll conjure not only the brutality that Mr. Mubarak seems to have sponsored but also the courage and grace of those Egyptians who risked their lives as they sought to reclaim their country. And incredibly, the democracy protesters held their ground all day at Tahrir Square despite this armed onslaught. Above all, I’ll be inspired by those two sisters standing up to Mr. Mubarak’s hoodlums. If they, armed only with their principles, can stand up to Mr. Mubarak’s thuggery, can’t we all do the same?
