9 s( @9 ~4 W q1 U4 n. `N﹕穆斯林兄弟會絕對不是激進組織,他們是十分溫和的,只適合和今日的土耳其執政黨正義與發展黨比較。兄弟會成員大多為知識分子,包括醫生、工程師、教師等。就是作為兄弟會巴勒斯坦支部的哈馬斯,也不是激進組織,它只是一個抵抗強權、接受選舉洗禮的組織罷了。香港被日本佔領時,你們不也會抵抗嗎,難道你們就是激進分子?以色列不斷選出偏激的右翼人士擔任領導,那才是「激進」。0 q' |5 s+ g+ @* H. A3 N
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: N G- s/ W8 m* S
沈﹕你看穆斯林兄弟會會否成為執政黨?& U% q2 R' _# _7 V' x3 o; d
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N﹕應該不會,但假如有自由選舉,它在國會會有一定票數(上次選舉它得票20%)。事實上,兄弟會經歷多個政府,已明白自己當政府並非最重要的事,它更希望獲得意識形態的影響力。就是在穆巴拉克時代,兄弟會和他也是有默契的,雙方都不會徹底的硬碰硬,可見兄弟會並非以奪權為首要目的。隨覑副總統蘇萊曼和他們對話,兄弟會已正式回到主流社會了。 6 X* B, O" V1 a1 W% Ctvb now,tvbnow,bttvb , \% k& h6 W: M f3 W8 u; e' t沈﹕埃及局勢下一步會怎樣?最理想的發展又是什麼? ( {$ t5 A# c" n- `+ a7 T. gTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb, G/ Z8 ^3 J& B
N﹕先由過渡政府接管權力,然後舉行大選,籌組新政府,再修改憲法,令埃及變得更民主自由,這是所有埃及人希望出現的。我不認為埃及人會接受任何來自現政權的舊面孔,包括這位副總統,來領導我們的新國家。至於說誰會當新領袖,目前太難說了,除了穆斯林兄弟會,埃及還有不少規模有限的反對黨,例如老牌華夫塔黨(Wafd);在2005年,反對派候選人Ayman Nour挑戰穆巴拉克,獲得7.3%選票,這次也可能再出來;還有西方接受的諾貝爾和平獎得主巴拉迪、阿拉伯聯盟秘書長穆薩等,都是可能的人選。 / O' f6 V, L5 A4 \% H U9 U/ Q' K& otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb& p- u, W0 s) [8 D6 u* d) n5 w. y- L
沈﹕還有下一波革命會發生在阿拉伯世界嗎? 2 w: P) P. S- K, I T( o8 E' N6 V3 E. F* b& i [3 X3 Ttvb now,tvbnow,bttvbN﹕我相信會的,但很難說是哪一個國家,我想較可能的是也門、阿爾及利亞和約旦。目前阿爾及利亞的民間已在起動了,也門總統已宣布不再連任,約旦除了換了首相,還出現群眾批評王后干政的運動,可見衝擊已經開始。相對而言,沙特、科威特等王室管治的國家,因為更封閉,反而較難出現類似革命,那裏的民眾也許會要求一些小規模變革,但要徹底改變那種高壓政體太困難了。 " O+ A9 b0 q9 C % x8 K }% m, H% I" D& `公仔箱論壇沈﹕西方將這波革命比作「新顏色革命」或「第四波民主化」,但中亞、東歐的顏色革命爆發後,新政府比從前更糟,貪污問題沒有改善,國內矛盾被激化,反而失去了從前的秩序。有內地學者因而還是得出「穩定壓倒一切」的結論。你擔心革命後的埃及會步吉爾吉斯等國後塵嗎?0 ^+ j' n" F' U
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N﹕今天埃及的社會狀是近數十年最壞的,不會有更壞的了。埃及經歷政權更替,結果一定是好多於壞,因為這是代表埃及人民得到尊嚴,他們連穆巴拉克都能推翻,就沒有一個政權是埃及人民不能推翻的。短期內也許是換湯不換藥,但長遠來看,這次革命的正面意義必然被肯定!作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-2-13 06:09 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-2-13 06:12 AM 編輯 ; m. X# y! f( i3 Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ( O. f% a/ h' ?& o0 ]% o& tArabs seize the ‘permission to narrate’ 3 z+ H2 f9 X; _" Y1 ^+ s , z% f. x' \1 a! r9 ~7 j& hBy Dan Sisken + Z# F g/ q2 s! s, Dwww2.tvboxnow.comThe Egyptian revolution is bringing with it countless stories about how it happened and what it means for Egypt and the Middle East. Having spent a good number of hours the past two weeks watching and marveling at Al Jazeera's coverage, I sense that one of the stories taking shape amounts to a meta narrative about a shifting balance of media influence between the region and the United States. Just as the Egyptian revolution has liberated the Egyptian people from the grasp of a US-backed authoritarian leader and seems likely to wrench Egypt out of its nearly total reliance on US support and largesse, the Egyptian people--as covered by Al Jazeera--may be bringing about a new international media order. 0 W( l# {6 V( `& L1 wwww2.tvboxnow.com公仔箱論壇. \! J3 H$ g" G$ w+ x- P
In a presentation before a room of about 50 people at DC's Busboys and Poets last week, an Al Jazeera reporter and anchor discussed with the audience the effect the ongoing revolution is having on the station's reach in the US.Despite the fact that Al Jazeera English is available by cable in only a small handful of US locales, its reputation and visibility have skyrocketed since January 25, mostly because Americans have been watching the live stream of the AJE broadcast on the station's web site. As someone from the audience pointed out, the Egyptian uprising is doing for AJE what the first US Gulf war did for CNN.公仔箱論壇0 |0 `# O8 J r' Y& a+ _
+ D. Y% p- y# p; M3 n# mwww2.tvboxnow.comSo, as we watch the unfolding drama of Egyptians reclaiming their voice and destiny, we watch and are enlightened by young and extremely well-informed Arab, and in many cases Egyptian, reporters and analysts. There is no western filter of former government officials, DC think tankers, former military officers, and other US policy wonks. No, what we are now witnessing is Arabs and Egyptians, not only making their own history, but having the international stature and reach to narrate it as well.3 l5 y# u* _8 n! s7 X( Y$ D
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Facts do not at all speak for themselves, but require a socially acceptable narrative to absorb, sustain, and circulate them. . . . as Hayden White has noted in a seminal article, "narrative in general, from the folk tale to the novel, from annals to the fully realized 'history,' has to do with the topics of law, legality, legitimacy, or, more generally, authority." k: c, Q T4 |2 ]- c J' zTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- Edward Said