本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-11-21 07:41 AM 編輯 3 X. ^+ P/ s2 x9 R: @0 p+ k
0 P4 f/ _2 h; h, B7 Y Working with Washington is threat to cosy ties with China 6 j5 k6 z1 l' ~: W; Xwww2.tvboxnow.comBy Geoff Dyer in Washington 1 h7 m. a1 L6 P; O- |$ o) hTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。www2.tvboxnow.com& h: r/ a. a* \' D: w
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。0 h% B1 _+ O" u: L& e# }. p% n
In 1942, the Japanese air force dropped more bombs over Darwin than they had used at Pearl Harbor and in the process turned Australia into a rock-solid ally of the US. On Thursday, Barack Obama visited the same northern Australian town and re-cast the alliance for a new era.# R0 ` i! V5 [4 B
The numbers of American marines to be based in Darwin may be modest but the strategic significance is not. The beefed-up security pact with Australia is a hugely important episode in the growing geopolitical contest between China and the US over the future of Asia. $ w& x( ]1 V- N: w% L2 `% C0 W/ aFor the past three decades, Australia has served as a sort of early-warning system for the rise of China. To understand the effect China is having on the world, Australia has been a good place to start.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5 F' M8 G8 R7 g. a% n7 N3 V
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Prodded by some far-sighted diplomats, Australia was one of the first countries to wake up to the economic potential of China. In 1985, then Prime Minister Bob Hawke took Chinese leader Hu Yaobang on a personal tour of the Pilbara, a remote stretch of Western Australia with vast deposits of iron ore. In a way, it was the start of the current commodities boom. Since then,ever-larger slabs of the iron-rich red earth have been transported to China to make the steel for China’s mammoth urbanisation. * _1 ]. I+ H, `2 O4 S& S公仔箱論壇 & G1 r7 @4 g+ x# L+ t公仔箱論壇Australia’s think-tanks and universities have many of the best China-watchers in the English-speaking world and in Kevin Rudd, it had the first Chinese-speaking prime minister of a western country (Mr Rudd is now foreign minister).TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。# n! n# `" _) [8 T' S. k) I, I
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Australians were also well ahead of the pack in being rattled by China’s state-owned industry. In2009, Stern Hu, an Australian citizen of Chinese origin who worked for Australian miner Rio Tinto, was arrested by the Chinese authorities on charges of stealing state secrets. The charges were reduced to industrial espionage and Mr Hu admitted to taking bribes, receiving a 10-year prison sentence, but the suspicion lingered that his prosecution was partly the result of a dispute between the miners and Beijing over iron ore prices.www2.tvboxnow.com+ Q- f; B8 s) n2 A& f' q, [1 n/ A
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Given the importance of China to its economy, Australia might have been expected to drift away from its close links with the US, which were forged in the heat of the Second World War. “You could not get much closer to China than we are,” the former Australian ambassador to Beijing Geoff Raby used to joke. “But we will.”tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb/ x' j/ T% e: v$ a0 O
, [; C: M' \2 ywww2.tvboxnow.comYet the fact that Canberra is doubling-up on its defense alliance with Washington is one of the most powerful indicators of the way that Beijing has unnerved the rest of the Asia-Pacific region in the past few years with its more abrasive diplomacy.While Mr Obama was in Australia, Hillary Clinton, US Secretary of State, was in the Philippines, another regional neighbour that has watched Chinese behaviour with growing apprehension and which is celebrating a 60-year security pact with the US. She agreed to provide Manila with a new warship.; u+ r- W$ p# ^+ B; E$ D B& U
The calculation in Canberra and other capitals around the region is that they can continue to have it both ways – trading freely with a booming China while continuing to benefit from the security umbrella provided by the US. With a greater show of unity and renewed American engagement in the region, these countries hope, China’s more disruptive instincts can be curtailed and the Asian boom will continue apace. # s0 M! T7 u) ^2 N0 u5 b + f$ b1 v1 \# q" O0 DBut all that assumes the geopolitical rivalry between the US and China does not escalate. There is another potential future that could await Australia, which would involve some much more painful choices. Suppose one of the skirmishes between Chinese and US ships in the South China Sea were to escalate. With American marines and kit on its territory, Australia could find itself pulled into a conflict between its security guarantor and its main market. 7 G% ], d8 W. k! y0 U+ ^www2.tvboxnow.comAustralia would then find itself blazing another geopolitical trail, as one of the first countries to be squeezed between the two great powers of the age.作者: norman.ho 時間: 2011-11-21 05:38 PM
; c4 y! j; t9 G; g2 w6 D6 v/ s6 Y/ fAustralia, a resource rich, military strong and sovereign country, by inviting the US navy to station at Darwin, is acting like a spoilt brat craving for drug; prostituting herself, not for money, but to get high.作者: aa00 時間: 2011-11-22 12:48 PM
本帖最後由 norman.ho 於 2011-11-22 08:14 PM 編輯 公仔箱論壇% q" n* x- H2 e# J! X
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I don't think the stationing of US navy at Darwin really post any threat to China as such; the US strategy is to create tension at the Asian Pacific region in order to slow down the economic and military collaboration among the Asian countries. # D: m/ W* |* c8 u h, AAs all Asian countries are in the process of developing their industrial and commercial sectors, no country would want to go to war, even when being push. Take the example of India and Pakistan; there has been various terrorist attacks at the heart of India, yet they are still busy talking about trade and military cooperation. We all know any war between any Asian country is guaranteed to be a loose loose situation.0 w Q+ N8 j* Z* u- M; h0 |' Y
It's only the US and a couple of the European countries that wants war or civil war in Asia; so the rise of economic status of Asia could be stifled. I am sure no country would fall for it.作者: aa00 時間: 2011-11-23 08:43 AM
美澳同稱溫家寶「有分寸」 $ V& l% ~- {" t/ n& m1 x* A, |% p$ ?tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb溫家寶在印尼峇里島與以美國為首的新圍堵中國勢力交手,說出了一句「來而不往非禮也」,周一本欄解讀,指溫總的「往」僅重申中國在南海問題的立場而已,並不是你做初一,我做十五,更不是人若犯我,我必犯人。所以,美國和澳洲都稱讚中國的反應「有分寸」。公仔箱論壇6 \! Y4 e8 w/ }& X, [( u
第四代擊鼓傳炸彈 TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: G) U+ T0 O5 Y$ l8 X; q
筆者觀察,固然溫家寶心在推進改革,外交大戰略歸胡錦濤管,不歸他管,而他對軍事也一竅不通,汶川大地震後他硬逼軍隊一天打通通道便露了底;但是,在涉及國家核心利益的大是大非問題上,他應該也像周恩來、陳毅那樣針鋒相對,寸步不讓。總之,美澳對他的「好評」,對他不是甚麼好事情。筆者相信,在美國咄咄逼人的亞太攻勢下,北京第四代還是想不出甚麼好辦法,惟有重新「韜光養晦」,把頭再縮回來。北京也有學者講,這是擊鼓傳「炸彈」,將問題再交給第五代。 & b' N8 j/ V* l: y! W# s& p5 iwww2.tvboxnow.comTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: q# g/ h$ E# S3 `1 Z
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北京消息說,這次峇里島多個會議,由於美國總統及國務卿都到會,層級提高了,北京方面也有人提出,胡錦濤出席完夏威夷亞太經合組織會議後,可順道訪問東南亞國家,然後到峇里島,但是胡不接受,理由是東亞峰會本來就是總理層級的會議。溫雖然不悅,也只好硬着頭皮赴「鴻門宴」。公仔箱論壇 h, ~: \: I' u
9 ?/ O5 F! ]" ^6 Q! W+ Y; fTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 / L. b, \$ h5 s. s
其實,溫家寶的身邊人非常清楚,他去峇里島只有受圍攻的份。近年來,與中國有南海爭議的相關國家,不但與美國密切結盟,而且與日本、澳洲、印度等非相關國合縱連橫,形成對付中國的統一戰線。此外,俄羅斯首次加入東亞峰會,但是坐山觀虎鬥,沒有幫中國說一句好話,令中國完全處於孤立狀態。- F. T& V3 ]" z2 J3 m
2 u7 @: J! E" a* J+ z# jwww2.tvboxnow.com ' s0 A" Y O' c/ E) d. cTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。在這種態勢下,溫家寶也曾設法改變被動狀態,包括在經濟上拋出銀彈,承諾增加一百億美元對東盟的基建貸款,並設立三十多億元人民幣的海上合作基金。另外,起初堅持不與奧巴馬談南海問題,但後來拋出一句「來而不往非禮也」。對此,美方認為是奧巴馬外交的勝利。 3 C3 n4 x. [2 w G7 ^( d! ?$ u6 CTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。9 z6 ^& ^% B" e: Q& ?0 N6 H! U
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當然,溫總與奧巴馬只是宣講中方的南海原則,並不是和他談如何解決,奧巴馬所謂的「勝利」也是自欺欺人。不過,對於美國增兵澳洲,溫家寶隨行的外交部發言人太丟人,先說這「不合時宜」,後又否認說過。相信這種示弱,根子還在溫家寶。% W2 J; `% O& k8 P. a6 A
& e' O: g9 E* R0 k N- n4 g; d1 `公仔箱論壇 $ c7 _& E# Y5 f% a; R% ^& w) T8 ntvb now,tvbnow,bttvb筆者相信,中共第四代在明年十八大交班之前,在南海都無所作為,只是拖。 ^. M3 ]5 C: n `% ?公仔箱論壇 7 z* i2 D7 U) I& A. \) t7 Y }- o
9 {1 ^& G4 n6 p4 O }TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。古 呂 % W" ]5 ~& D q) ]* i( VTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 公仔箱論壇& x* f* G4 h; G4 [+ n
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9 P# M, u. k# P5 _9 Y8 C來源 / 版權所有: 《太陽報》 / 作者 + O/ `9 f" {7 o, c5 B1 y$ MTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。(以上内容摘自或摘译自 其它媒体 / 作者 ,不代表發帖者观点)