本帖最後由 aa00 於 2011-7-1 11:58 AM 編輯 tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb/ X2 m" B% ^, o8 e% x. P
tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb* ^4 X% N% |$ }0 x% r7 h
I.H.T. Op-Ed Contributor : E/ C) Q5 S5 N7 a' k
tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 F% @! P: K! @: a# d6 [
tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ x6 g, R% V$ ]5 o- U" b
4 X2 f ? d9 o: D4 w- P0 ITVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Great Party, but Where's the Communism?
; n2 S8 W: F" V公仔箱論壇
) g+ g* ^" E+ S; z9 Y* Q7 KTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。www2.tvboxnow.com. D% M# j- {4 ^
! ^4 n- ~( V5 |/ E: i
By MINXIN PEIPublished: June 30, 2011
$ r) R! u$ P" Z' B7 s! NTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 M$ C! H2 E3 I* J9 c
, C& D7 v' x% C6 @
0 t* m# G0 U- q3 e$ K: R0 Q
* y( t! [5 k+ O/ I6 B6 u/ ?
4 l7 D: f1 _1 ^; i% j4 m6 S
There is little question that the Chinese Communist Party has come a long way since it was founded 90 years ago by 12 delegates representing roughly 50 members.
4 \1 `8 g$ m) E" N4 ?$ Xtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbwww2.tvboxnow.com. k1 q: V- \( y+ G* k
3 Q9 J. {: p; D7 nYet however insignificant it may have seemed back then, there was no question about its ideology, identity and mission. Inspired by utopian Marxism, the party represented China’s idealist leftists, nationalists and the downtrodden. Its mission was to end social injustice and Western colonialism. TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ d$ Q/ B# S4 |, Z" N9 a& g
r* ]3 e4 t4 n* Qtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb
, ]9 J3 ~0 [( |$ T; K. _# o% F$ C公仔箱論壇Today the party is a political behemoth, with 80 million members and control of the world’s second-largest economy. At home its grip on power faces no organized challenge; abroad its leaders are accorded a respect Mao and Zhou Enlai could not have dreamed of. www2.tvboxnow.com- J: ]8 M% Q% S4 I; I6 @7 d
www2.tvboxnow.com! C" a3 _9 T, Q) \& Z9 l7 \2 L
www2.tvboxnow.com5 x" v1 @" j7 M' _
Indeed, we should give the party its due for having abandoned the Maoist madness of its first three decades in power — the mass terror, famine, brutal political campaigns and vicious power struggles — and for radically improving the material lives of China’s 1.3 billion people.
. z8 O7 b4 C! Z" L" y N jTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- k# ? A: n0 d7 j4 Q
公仔箱論壇$ ? N: u' O$ c& Q/ _' r
Yet if asked, “What does the Communist Party stand for,” few Chinese leaders today could give a coherent or honest answer.
, o; z" T7 w$ r- h# c2 s' Y
" w2 R3 J. q/ _+ w3 o# wTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 A8 W7 y- l3 [1 ]
This much we know: It no longer stands for a utopian ideology. If there is one ideology that the party represents, it is the ideology of power. The sole justification for the party’s rule is the imperative to stay in power. - Q# L: V" {# C3 R2 r) C
公仔箱論壇$ ^7 J, f* i8 j6 U7 e7 k# K6 U
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。9 y6 S: @# s/ p9 z7 O& {
Nor does the party stand for China’s masses. Despite efforts to broaden its social base and make it more connected with China’s dynamic and diverse society, the party today has evolved into a self-serving, bureaucratized political patronage machine. It is undeniably an elitist party, with more than 70 percent of its members recruited from government officials, the military, college graduates, businessmen and professionals.
" o. i. p- i$ d% L: q7 T0 J) s& U/ \! o `. `/ P
. ^" h; A- g. C I! {& uSo for all its apparent power, the party is in fact facing an existential crisis and an uncertain future. Apart from staying in power, it has no public purpose. The crisis is not only ideological, but also political; it explains much of the cynicism, corruption and insecurity of the party and its elites. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb( Y* B# f+ ~5 k& U- P: h
& H2 [% d _- _5 x( k
& e, ]% `+ ~8 H( a3 o6 q
As the party has firmly rejected democratization, its only strategy for survival is to maintain the course it has embarked on since the Tiananmen crackdown in June 1989: drawing political legitimacy from economic growth but relying on repression to crush challenges to its monopoly of power. Although this strategy has worked well since Tiananmen, its effectiveness and sustainability are increasingly in doubt. www2.tvboxnow.com% j2 q' ^3 f4 W: G/ l# k8 t% o
1 h4 u) X7 r! q' b
www2.tvboxnow.com( w _% D2 V5 E( `3 E8 [ x" j
On the economic front, growth is about to slow down. Demographic aging, resource constraints, stalled economic reforms and environmental degradation are almost certain to depress China’s growth potential. An optimistic World Bank forecast predicts a growth rate from 2016-2020 of about 7 percent annually — a respectable number, but a 30 percent drop from today’s rate. www2.tvboxnow.com# I9 p4 z6 {5 G. c8 N8 R9 X9 {
: n6 E2 A S" w/ w. }1 m
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。! G$ x0 I* Q" C7 X$ s
China’s economic revolution is also unleashing powerful social forces that will make maintaining a one-party state more tenuous. The party’s governing philosophy and organizational structure make it difficult to incorporate China’s growing middle-class politically. The convergence of an economic slowdown and rising political activism will challenge the party’s rule from several directions. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb& @9 Q. `1 X6 E: X0 x, @( x; s+ K
! ?1 G* V* U2 Q8 \www2.tvboxnow.comtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb! r, M: h! H) \/ n, `- v
Now that the Chinese Communist Party has been in power for 62 years, its leaders might also want to note that the record for one-party rule is 74 years, held by the Soviet party, followed by the 71-year rein of Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party.
8 O5 ^1 w. {; [: N; R公仔箱論壇tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb: j: k$ _, O7 s1 j& W+ X3 e0 }8 [) K
, ^( M5 r; p. y" n! m/ sTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。So when Chinese leaders toast their party’s 90th birthday, they should harbor no illusions that the party can beat history’s odds forever. 公仔箱論壇; ^, K3 {- @% ]
/ b/ S, m Q9 O" L7 b
% z8 \0 X1 U; x8 |# v0 zMinxin Pei is a professor of government at Claremont McKenna College in California.
2 A' v: b! a$ r$ k3 tTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。
5 {6 J% ]' R( J; Y0 ?' v9 Ztvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 U! ^5 v+ l! a$ N0 w9 n/ T7 q
公仔箱論壇, \8 i3 ^7 D6 [- Q
公仔箱論壇2 u+ ?# \4 H! b- V6 n" S; Z2 _
來源 / 版權所有: 《紐約時報》; X. U8 h. M4 @; P
(以上内容摘自或摘译自 《紐約時報》,不代表發帖者观点) |